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关注石油、煤炭、银行等高股息红利板块,以及受益于供给约束和避险情绪的有色金属。其逻辑在于,地缘冲突导致的能源价格中枢上移具有阶段持续性,且PPI链条的修复有望为资源品带来业绩弹性。  二是进攻端:逢低关注代表新质生产力方向、一季度业绩高增且产业趋势明确的科技成长主线,比如光模块、算力硬件等细分领域,其核心逻辑在于北美云巨头AI资本开支周期的延续性以及订单能见度的高潜力。  总体而言,我们认为,当前

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